I have to admit there are some good games this weekend. Depending on how things go, this could conceivably be the best week left for watching football. Especially Saturday, those are two legitimate games. Last week I stared aimlessly at the lines for hours and days. They confused me so, and I managed a smooth 2-2. So, more proof that there is no rhyme or reason to any of this. This week, I got my first peek at the lines last night. Far less analysis. Will there be a change, I don’t know. I just take the opposite of what Dub takes anyway. I don’t, but it’s been working out that way. Weird. Let’s see what we’ve got….
BIG DUB H: Last Week, 2-2
I’m going for the clean sweep and with it I will coast to the postseason crown.
Baltimore +3 vs. Pittsburgh. Because the Ravens have to beat the Steelers at some point in the playoffs.
Atlanta -2.5 vs. Green Bay. Because I don’t have to lay a field goal.
Chicago -10 vs. Seattle. Because Seattle blew their load last week…ewww.
New York +9 vs. New England. Because it’s personal.
NICHOLS: Last Week, 2-2
Baltimore (+3.5)…My first inclination was to take Pitt at home. When two defensive power-houses square up I typically take the home team. That being said, something tells me that Ray Lewis is making his final push for glory. I think he’s gonna approach this like a cage match b/w him and Big Ben. I’ll take Ray and his murderin’ ways. B’more wins 16-13.
Atlanta (-2.5)…Green Bay is playing some good ball at the right time so it’s tough to pick against them, but Atlanta is at home, and that has only hurt me once this season. White is a beast, Ryan has proven to be a legit QB, and Gonzalez is my x-factor. Last but not least, I think Atlanta’s D will come up big when it counts. Falcons 31, Green Bay 27.
Seattle (+10)…Seattle used up all their magic last weekend, so they won’t win, but I’m using my big spread theory that won me the regular season. I can honestly say this would be one of my regular season picks so I feel good about this. Large spreads don’t go far in the playoffs, and the idea that Chicago will win by a TD at home sits just fine with me. Bears win 24-17.
NE (-7.5)…I hate this pick. Why? Because I just went on about large spreads and playoffs, and for all intents and purposes, 7.5 is a large spread in the playoffs. MGM and Caesars actually have it at 8.5 but that doesn’t sit right with me. So, I’m going against my large spread theory here because I believe in karma, and I think it’s high time that it’s about to come back to bite Rex in the ass. One could make a strong argument that Belichick has some karma comin’ his way, but Rex takes the cake. That mans mouth is about to lose him a playoff. NE 34, Jets 17
GROSSY: Last Week, 2-2
Pittsburgh (-3) vs. Baltimore. Pittsburgh is at home. I think they are the better team. They have the better playoff quarterback. They have the better defense. Recent history has shown that those advantages will not add up to a blowout, but I just can’t trust Flacco in a real tough spot. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if this games ends as a push, but in a contest this tight, you have to go with the team you think is going to win the game. I’ll take Pittsburgh.
Green Bay (+2.5) @ Atlanta. I don’t see much difference from last week honestly. Similar line, Green Bay heading into a tough spot on the road, and I think they’ll win the game outright. I’m going to try to be somewhat consistent here. The Packers have the better quarterback. Their defense is better. What would worry me is the crowd. This has to be the biggest game in Atlanta in some time, but then I remembered this isn’t the SEC. No one cares. The Vick jerseys will be silent by halftime.
Seattle (+10) @ Chicago. What’s the only way to get the Seahawks out of this thing? Pick them. Once again, I don’t think the Seahawks have much chance of winning this game, though I’d actually be less surprised than I was last week. The Bears don’t strike me as a team that has the right to lay 10 points to anyone, Panthers included. This is Cutler’s playoff debut, right? Oh my overstimulation. It could get really weird out there. The only thing that might save Chicago is the fact they are playing a really, really, bad football team.
New England (-9) vs. New York. I love how people think the Jets are going to be so fired up for this game that the Pats won’t be able to blow them out. What, New England isn’t going to be fired up? The Patriots at home are about as trustworthy as it gets in the NFL. So, you have to be working from a starting point where you assume they are going to win the game. From there, you have to assume they are going to score in the neighborhood of 30 points. Throw in Mark Sanchez, his last effort in NE, and this becomes a breeze.
KRAFT: Last Week, 1-3
Pittsburgh -3.5 over Baltimore- this is the game where you lose by the hook, but i can’t be counting on winning by the 1/2 pt. Don’t trust Flacco yet. Besides, if Baltimore wins this game, Joe Flacco will have the record for most Road Playoff wins. Joe Flacco?
GB +1.5 over ATL- count me in the Atlanta just isn’t that impressive crowd.
Chicago -10 over Seattle- Bookmakers must know something that I don’t.
NE -9 over J-E-T-S- Right now Sanchez and the Jets O couldn’t score 24 in a 7on7 situation. And they aren’t going to hold Brady to under 30.
JCK: Last Week, 2-2
Pittsburgh (-3) vs Baltimore – Wasn’t Armageddon a movie staring Ben Affleck and Bruce Willis? Not, according to Terrell Suggs who essentially has dubbed this the de-facto Super Bowl. Experience wins out here at QB…ring up another AFC Championship for Level 2 Sex Offender, Rapelisberger.
Green Bay (+2) @ Atlanta – If it were not for the dome the Packers would feel like they were at home with all the snow. Not sold on Matty Ice and Roddy Roddy Piper. I smell big time fakers.
Seahawks (+10) @ Chi Town – What a stink bomb. Do they even have to televise this game. I’m not sure who wins, but surely Cutler throws at least 2 picks.
Patriots (-8) vs Foot Lickn’, Loud Mouths – Although my Son is due Monday, my wife is allowing me to attend the game. People here are amped up and I cannot picture a let down scenario. Pats -34-17