Annual Kevin Kolb “Trade” Debate.

The Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on Michael Vick. It means Vick will earn about 20 million in 2011 assuming there is a season and assuming there is still a franchise tag in the collective bargaining agreement. This, aside being great news for Vick’s creditors, is no surprise. The price seems steep for one season, but it gives the Eagles another year to look at Vick without making the commitment of a long term deal and even bigger signing bonus. It’s the least possible commitment, should we coin the term, “LPC”? It rules football. What is the absolute minimum we can do for a player? If this was baseball, Vick would have his long term deal (possibly from the highest bidder). Hell, if it was hockey, he’d have some ridiculous 14 year contract, but in the NFL it’s all about that LPC.

And, that is the same reason the Kevin Kolb trade rumors leading up to the draft will likely be pointless. The bulk of the money in the Eagles’ half-hearted extension for Kolb was doled out last year. For 2011, Kolb would be a bargain for a decent kicker, for a QB…he’s an absolute steal. The Eagles are under no obligation to give him more money and they are under no obligation to move him to give him a chance to start. The only thing they will do is shop him.

But, what does that mean, really? What do the Eagles think Kolb is worth vs. what would another team be willing to give up? I hate to say it, but the best thing Kolb has going for him is his low salary figure. Last year there was some mystery around Kolb’s game, his ceiling was high according to some. The work he did on the field this year I can’t imagine helped his cause too much. Kolb looks to be settling into the serviceable category. You could do worse than Kolb, but it’s hard not to think that ultimately he will be a dead end. Even if he did work out, his salary would balloon starting in 2012.

The Eagles will be perfectly happy to keep Kolb. An inexpensive backup who they know well? It’s a great situation for a team to be in. Because of that, the Birds will likely set the price obscenely high for Kolb (like they did last year), and it could very well kill the market. There’s a big difference between someone being “available” and someone being likely to be moved. Kolb is available. If some team went brain dead and offered a package centering on a number one pick, the Eagles might listen,but don’t expect a Don McNabb deal to push K-squared out of town. If Ed Wade was an NFL GM, he’d probably ship 2 first rounders to Philly without blinking an eye, but I doubt the Eagles are going to get that lucky.

So, I’m sure trading Kevin Kolb is going to be one of the top off-season stories for the Eagles. There will be rumors, there will be theories and arguments, but the guy is more than likely going to stick around. In fact, the only way I see the Eagles making a move is if they really think Kolb doesn’t have it, or of they really think Vick can be durable year after year. Neither of those sound plausible. The way my predictions have been going around here lately, Kolb will probably be dealt tomorrow, but in the meantime I’d ignore all Kolb trade stories until the word “traded” actually appears in a headline.

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11 thoughts on “Annual Kevin Kolb “Trade” Debate.

  1. Was Kolb THAT awful this year to completely discourage teams? I’m asking, b/c i’m not sure he even had enough time to hurt/help his stock either way. Also, if you’re the Eagles and you believe you’re this [] close, shouldn’t you move Kolb for a piece that can help? Something you can draft that would change/help you now versus a back up? It’s not like if Vick goes down you maintain the same likelihood of winning it all, so if you could get another 2nd rounder, package it with a 1 and get someone, shouldn’t that be the ultimate goal?

  2. I’m sure there are teams out there that would want him and he’d probably be an upgrade for some, but I don’t see anyone paying the Eagles price.

    Aside from the Atlanta game he was pretty average at best this year. You’re talking about a guy that’s been developed for 4 yrs now and there isn’t a ton of promise in my mind.

    I’d definitely move him for a 2nd rounder or something, just don’t think the Eagles will, because they need someone as the back up and they love being frugal.

  3. Who was the last back up to win a super bowl? Was it The Hoss? While i think the back up is obviously important for midseason injuries, it’s not like he’ll save your season and win it all for you. So i’d move him if i could get something that could be packaged for an immediate need.

      • I should’ve clarified, my mistake. I meant a backup with regards to coming in mid/late season and leading the team to a SB. Brady fits the bill though, somehow completely forgot about him. Warner doesn’t fit that scenario i was talking about, only b/c Green got hurt in preseason so he wasn’t a backup, he was the starter for the entire season.

      • Doug Williams wa a backup when he won the Super Bowl.

        I think Bob Griese was a backup the year the Dolphins went undefeated and won it all in ’72.

        Jim Plunkett was the Raiders backup when they beat the Eagles in ’80 . He also came off the bench in ’84 when the Raiders beat the Redskins. How he won 2 Super Bowls is mind blowing.

        But if you’re want the most recent you have to go back to 2000. Good ‘ol Trent Dilfer did it with the Ravens.

        The only other name that comes to mind is Brad Johnson with the Bucs. He might have been a backup. Definitely a journeymen.

      • I thought Dilfer was a legit replacement (not injury) to whoever started for the Ravens? Basically took the guy’s job. I’m pretty sure Johnson wasn’t a back up for the Bucs, although he was a journeyman.

  4. I think the problem is the Eagles probably think they could win a Super Bowl with Kolb stepping in. This contributes to their outrageous demands.

    I’d trade the guy in a heart beat. Give me a 3rd rounder, maybe you get lucky with the pick.

  5. I just don’t see how teams think they can win big with backups. Aaron Rodgers was once a backup, but it was a) to a HOF’er and b) he was a high pick coming out of a pro offense with big numbers at Cal. If you could win it all with your backup….he wouldn’t be your back up.

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