Well, I kicked around about 35 ideas for a game-5 post this morning, but couldn’t really come up with anything adequate. There’s really not much to say. Everyone knows what is at stake. The Phillies need to win to keep the season going, and sorting out the reaction will be a lot easier once we actually know the result. So, after unsuccessfully trying to embed an MLB video that somehow made Game 5 of the 1980 NLCS seem boring, I’m relieved to see it’s time to post some NFL picks. The perfect distraction. I need to bear down and find some winners this week before I end up eyebrow deep in a hole. Let’s see what we’ve got.
Philly -3 over Buffalo. I will ignore all the experts here about how Fred Jax is going to run for 250 yards since the Eagles defense is so porous. This game is a must-win for the Birds, and it’s all about pride. Do you have pride, or not? 1-4 is a death sentence, so I expect their best game of the season. If they lose this game I may have to decide whether I will become a Ravens or Lions fan.
Tennessee +3 over Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is beat up. Tennessee is one of the few teams that matches up with them toughness wise to begin with, and Harrison is out. Hasselbeck is apparently Steve Young in 2011, and how can you go against a team with a QB with male pattern baldness?
Oakland +6 over Houston. I’ll take the six points. Oakland runs the ball very well. I see them taking the air out of this ball game, and they may have something to prove after their defeat last week to NE. Houston is without their #1 weapon, Andre Johnson, and I see this as a big letdown game.
Cincinnati +2.5 over Jacksonville. I was surprised to see Cincy has the #1 defense. That’s not a good sign for Jacksonville’s horrid offense. I like the Red Rifle’s composure, and he’ll need every bit of it to settle himself in the NFL’s version of Death Valley. Those 25,000 fans sound like 30,000 after tailgating for 3 hours.
New York Giants -9.5 over Seattle. I would lay 9.5 with the University of Alabama. This is my weekly blowout special.
Big Dub: 10-9-1
I’m going to say I honestly don’t believe in my picks. I’m just going by what the line says.
Philadelphia -3 over Buffalo. How in the world are the Eagles a favorite? They are on the road, they can’t play defense, and they are starting two new players on the offensive line. I think Buffalo should be favored, so I guess that means I should go with the Eagles.
Minnesota -3 over Arizona. The Vikings should not be a favorite over any team at any venue. I don’t get this, I thought it would be a Pick ‘Em.
New York Jets +9 over New England. The Patriots can’t stop a nose bleed.
Green Bay -6 over Atlanta. The Falcons couldn’t stop the Eagles at home, they couldn’t stop the Packers in the playoffs last year, and they won’t stop them this week.
San Francisco -3 over Tampa Bay. I’m going against every team flying across the country. Especially on a short week.
Oakland +6 over Houston. I don’t think the Andre Johnson absence is getting enough play. The Texans will have Kevin “Rex” Walter and Jacoby Jones out wide? That’s a serious downgrade. I’m hoping it’s good news for Owen Daniels (more targets please)on my fantasy team, but the Texans offense has to take a little hit. Matt Schaub is an erratic mess, the Raiders play teams tough, it’s just too many points. The Texans are also getting too much credit for beating Pittsburgh. They stink right now.
Green Bay -6 over Atlanta. I’ve been a little leery of Green Bay all year, and I don’t know why. Perhaps residual bitterness over not being able to continue my fantasy love affair with Aaron Rodgers, but the Packers are looking like a well-oiled machine. I must admit that. They going to score at least 5 TDs on Atlanta, so the question is can the Falcons keep up? I don’t think so.
Tennessee +3 over Pittsburgh. I think the Steelers need that signature, OH MY GOD WHAT IS HAPPENING, game like the Eagles absorbed last week. There are a lot of things going wrong in Pittsburgh, they’re banged up, they’re aging, and Tennessee is not the pushover many people were expecting them to be. I can’t believe I’m about to write this, but Matt Hasselbald looks pretty good out there! Even without Kenny Britt and Chris Johnson looking like a waste of money they’re going to find a way to score. Outright winner.
Chicago +5.5 over Detroit. Heartbreak time in Detroit. They were sitting there last week, waiting to get their bubble burst, and then Tony Romo happened. Can Cutler one-up Romo? Of course he could, but coming off a bad game he’s more likely to tease Bears fans once again with a reasonable effort. The Lions, unfortunately, are not going to go 16-0. They might slip by the Bears, but it’s going to be a struggle. FG goal win at best for the fighting Wayne Fontes’.
Carolina +6.5 over New Orleans. How many big lines did the Saints fail to cover last year? 12? They aren’t that much different a team, and the Panthers have a totally different dynamic with Scam Newton at QB. The great thing about betting Carolina is you’re never out of the fight. Newton was born to play in garbage time. He’s got that youthful exuberance. He’ll kill himself to get you that backdoor cover. Saints lack the killer instinct, Carolina is their house of horrors, give the me the 6.5.
New Orleans -6.5 over Carolina. Weak secondary vs. Brees and 6.5 is it? Could be a trick, but I’m going with Brees.
Seattle +9.5 @ New York Giants. A win is a win, and as a Giants fan I’ll take what I can get, but that was a fumble and karma is a bitch. Giants win, but will struggle, just like Atlanta did. If this was +3.5, I’d go with Seattle for the win.
San Francisco -3 vs. Tampa Bay. The 49ers are riding high and Tampa, as a city, has had its fill of excitement for the year. I’m going with San Fran to win by 6.
Atlanta +6 vs. Green Bay. Everyone will pick Green Bay because they are the smart play. I say Atlanta circled this game on the calendar and has been waiting for this weekend all year. The Falcons season rests on this game. High score–Falcons win by a FG.
Detroit -5.5 vs. Chicago. I picked Chicago at first with a 3-point Detroit win, but now I like a MNF win by 6. I like Detroit at home and they’ve earned all the support they can get. I actually think this might turn out to be a good Monday Night game.
- San Diego (-4) over Denver
- Giants (-9.5) over Seattle
- Cincy (+2.5) over Jacksonville
- Oakland (+6) over Houston
- Patriots (-9) over New York Jets
Commissioner’s D.A. Top-10: Cruel Joke that Miami is on bye this week.
- Blaine Gabbert–Welcome to the Jungle
- Tarvaris Jackson–8 Sacks
- Kevin Kolb–The Vick Backup Bowl Winner
- Andy Dalton–Should Shave his Head
- Alex Smith–Letdown City
- Curtis Painter–Likely His Low-water mark
- Donovan McNabb–The Vick Backup Bowl Loser
- Matt Cassel–Set him loose, Haley
- Ben Roethlisberger–Welcome to your future, Ben
- Kyle Orton–Next to last start
Ok, there we go. Tough week for D.A. with the bye-weeks starting. Should really serve to separate the talent. Remember to get your picks in by Sunday morning. Hopefully everyone enjoys the weekend, for me and the rest of the Phillies bandwagon, it’ll be a better weekend if they win tonight, but at the very least we’ve got one more game to turn our stomachs inside out. I’ll see ya when I see ya. Could be 2 am, could be Thursday.