It’s a been a dark post-season of picks for me. And, looking at the two lines this week I don’t have much faith in a rally. The Giants, Patriots and Ravens have all been tough teams to figure out this year. Big lines, backdoor cover vulnerability, discrepancy in home/road play. It’s pretty much a nightmare. The Giants went 8-7-1 during the regular season against the number. How definitive. They’ve won two post-season games by 15+ points. And, they’re underdogs. They’re playing with our minds, people! There’s no other explanation. So, as I limp to the line here, trying to make amends for a 1-3 horror show last week, I need something to fall back on. What’s the good news? Mad Men is coming back March 25! If only it started next Sunday so we could all avoid the Pro Bowl. How about some picks….
Big Dub: Playoff Record, 6-2.
Baltimore (+7) over New England. I don’t believe in Flacco a little bit. In fact, he’s the white Donovan McNabb, and I learned what Donovan McNabb was all about in the playoffs. But didn’t Matt Moore, Rex Grossman and Ryan Fitzpatrick hang around with the putrid Pats defense? Isn’t this all about covering the number? In that case, I’ll take the points and doubt the Pats defense. Yes, they looked great against Tebow. I think that’s self-explanatory. I won’t be shocked to see the Ravens win this outright as Brady is made to look ordinary at times against a great defense.
San Francisco (-2.5) over New York Giants. I’ve been riding the Giants like Romo rides Jason Witten. All the weird stuff is going against New York. It’s going to rain, flight across the country and Eli has a tummy ache. Yes, I think Eli being sick Wednesday is a factor. He feels pretty good by Friday but then has to fly out to San Fran. That flight won’t feel too good for him, and I see him not playing well as a result. Yes, the Niners D will have more to do with it than anything, but don’t ignore his health and the flight. If the venues were switched, the Giants would roll the Niners, but at home SF should be able to force the turnovers they did against the Saints.
Grossy: Playoff Record, 3-5.
Baltimore (+7) over New England. I really wish this game was 7.5. It’d make me feel a bit more comfortable. There are some teams that the Pats just don’t have a great record of covering against, and Baltimore is one of those teams (anecdotal). There are some similarities here to previous New England post-season letdowns. You always assume the Pats will score enough to cover a big spread, but recently that hasn’t always been the case. I think the emergence of the two TEs makes them less vulnerable to a loss (by the way Rod Rutledge and Jermaine’s Wiggins don’t know what all the fuss is about), but they’re still going to have to slog it out. This could be Ray-Ray’s last run, I think the Ravens rally the troops and get a cover. Also, important not to overreact to beating Denver. They’re terrible.
New York Giants (+2.5) over San Francisco. This is just my karmic plight. I’m going to embrace it. There will be no newer, or more enthusiastic Niners fan on Sunday than this guy. It’s going to be downright shameful. Just embarrassing for all parties involved. What are my other options? I know I’ll be punished for this, though. I’ll be forced to stomach another Giants Super Bowl trip. I was listening to Mike & Mike this morning for a few minutes and it’s just unbearable what this NFL season has become. It really is. I wish the Niners still had Mike Singletary at the helm. Harbaugh got them this far, but they might need a lunatic to put them over the top.
Top-5 Other Things Going on this Weekend:
1. Sixers/Heat. Saturday Night in South Beach. Is Miami ready for Jodie Meeks? The correct answer is, Awww,HELL no. The great part about the Sixers’ 10-3 start was that they played a bunch of terrible, terrible teams. It’s not their fault. Two-thirds of the NBA is a trash heap. But, they also don’t really have a quality win. They blew that the other night against Denver. Beating Miami would be huge. D-Wade is already hurt and on his way to playing about 38 games this year–at best. He’s like the Chase Utley of the NBA. Sixers–OUTRIGHT!
2. Do we think Prince Fielder is like, “Ok haha, very funny…someone F’ing sign me.” The winter of Boras continues. Collusion? Hopefully. The Rangers decided they’d rather spend 115 million on Me Darvish? No, Yu Darvish. That joke was written by Our-Maury Telemaco. I’m not sure where Prince will land. The choices are probably Seattle, Washington, isn’t it time for the Cubs to swoop in? What’s Theo doing out there anyway? How about Toronto? Prince would love Canada. It’s great.
3. There is a golf tournament being played in the contiguous (aka continuous) 48 States this week. Bill Clinton is hosting and is playing on Saturday–I think with Greg Norman. It’s Phil Mickelson’s debut for the season as well. Rough start for old Philly Mick–74. He seems a bit directionless (bored?) these days. It’s been 20+ years of smiling out there. That’s exhausting. He knocked two balls O.B. yesterday. When I was 10 I called those Nytols. Why? Because Nytol will help you go O.B.
4. Holy cuss, it might snow! A couple of inches? Finally. I think we were somewhere around blizzard 6 or 7 by this point last year, so I guess if I have to dust an inch or two off the windshield tomorrow I can live with it. I just hope the grocery store isn’t sold out of water when I get there this afternoon. It’s not a hurricane, people.
5. Philadelphia Wings vs. Washington. That’s indoor, professional, sweet-lax action. Through a long and complicated process I became committed to attending a Wings this year. I’m expecting it to be an epic, retroactive live blog. This is not the weekend, though. I want so study up on some sweet lax flow before I head down there. The Wings lost their opener 22-12 so…I might have to become and Edmonton Rush fan.